Dhaka 02 November, 2026

Donald Trump Loses Allies After Elections in Serbia and Brazil

Carla Bleiker, Deutsche Welle

Publish : 02 Nov 2026, 10:00 AM
Flavio Bolsonaro's supporters showed their support for Donald Trump during the election campaign in Brazil. Photo: Reuters

The midterm elections in the United States are just around the corner: On Tuesday, November 3, American voters will choose their representatives to the US Congress.

The right-wing-conservative Republican party of President Donald Trump currently has a majority in both chambers.

But in other parts of the world election results are already in.

The majority of voters in both Serbia and Brazil cast their ballots for left-wing parties.

Those results will not influence the midterms in the US, but the victories of the Student List in Serbia and the incumbent president, Luiz Inacio "Lula" da Silva, in Brazil are bad news for Trump all the same.

In Serbia, he has lost an important European ally in outgoing president Aleksandar Vucic. And in Brazil, the Trump camp had been hoping Flavio Bolsonaro would triumph.

"Trump was a strong supporter of both Jair Bolsonaro, the Trump-like figure who served as president before Lula defeated him in 2022, and of his son Flavio," says Lawrence J. Haas, a senior fellow for US foreign policy at the American Foreign Policy Council, who was communications director for Al Gore, Bill Clinton's vice president, in the 1990s.

"Trump wasn't happy about the defeat of either Bolsonaro," he continues, "and he doesn't feel warmly toward Lula. So relations will remain cool at best."

Trump declared Brazilian election looked "rigged"
Flavio Bolsonaro is under investigation in Brazil for alleged corruption and money laundering.

After losing the election, he fled the country for Florida.

The US State Department granted him and his family entry visas in spite of the pending legal action.

Bolsonaro has refused to concede defeat. Instead, he claims there were irregularities in the vote.

This is very reminiscent of Trump, who continues to claim – falsely – that Joe Biden and the Democratic Party "stole" the US election in 2020.

Trump's comments on Bolsonaro's defeat sounded very familiar.

"It looked like another rigged election, frankly," the US president said on Monday. "Elections have to be indisputable – and it looked very bad to me."

Good relations with Putin ally Vucic
Aleksandar Vucic had ruled Serbia as president with an iron fist since 2017.

He resigned just before these elections in order to stand as prime minister, a role he previously held from 2014 to 2017.

Vucic has commented in the past that he and President Trump are like-minded people.

Trump's eldest son, Donald Jr., visited Vucic in Belgrade shortly before the US presidential elections in November 2024, and again a few months later.

The US Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), which is closely connected with Trump's MAGA ("Make America Great Again") movement, recently announced that it was organizing a meeting in Belgrade in November, at which Vucic was to be a keynote speaker. It is unclear whether this is still the case.

Another thing Vucic and Trump have in common is that the soon-to-be-ex-president of Serbia has a much more positive attitude toward Russian president Vladimir Putin than do most other European heads of state.

Vucic did not join EU countries in imposing sanctions on Russia after it launched its war of aggression against Ukraine.

Belgrade still buys Russian raw materials, and Serbian state media under Vucic presented a more positive image of Russia than of the EU.

Trump also seems increasingly inclined toward Moscow.

His special envoy Steve Witkoff recently described Putin as a "humanitarian," while, in an interview, Trump himself openly admitted that he got on better with Putin than with the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

The end of the Vucic government now means that Trump has lost one of his few allies in Europe who takes a similar view.

Israel: Outcome still unclear
There's still a chance of an outcome in the Israeli elections that might be to Trump's liking.

With more than 96% of votes counted, the right-wing bloc led by prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu is in the lead.

However, Trump ally Netanyahu has lost his majority, and the coalition negotiations will be very difficult.

Trump and Netanyahu have been close allies since well before February this year, when they joined forces to launch a war against Iran.

In 2018, during his first term in office, Trump moved the US embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

This was controversial, because both Israel and Palestinians claim Jerusalem as their capital. Netanyahu's camp welcomed the decision.

Today, the United States is still by far Israel's most important partner, while Israel is an important regional ally for the US.

It is not clear what their relationship would be like with a different Israeli government. If Netanyahu remains in power, little, if anything, will change.

No rosy prospects for Trump in the midterms
With Vucic's defeat, Trump has lost a loyal ally. And Lula's victory means, for him, that a disagreeable president remains in power.

None of this is good for Trump, but foreign policy analyst Haas said it won't influence the important midterm elections in his country.

"Americans will be voting [...] on the basis of issues that affect them, and how they feel about the party in power."

But this doesn't bode well for Trump, either. "Trump has the lowest approval rating of any president on the eve of a mid-term election since Harry Truman in 1946," Haas explained.

"Americans are very concerned about issues of affordability, [and] they strongly oppose the US-Iran war."

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French Students Decry Failures of Education System
For weeks, schoolchildren in France have been protesting the failing education system. Compared to many other countries, France invests heavily in education but critics say that the funds are not distributed fairly. Rats in the toilets, leaking roofs, broken heating systems: Cellphone videos filmed by French schoolchildren and circulating on social media bear witness to the dilapidated infrastructure in many educational institutions across France. At the Lycee Paul Eluard in the Parisian suburb of Saint-Denis, a center of the current protests, young people have reported that there are vermin in the building, and say burst pipes are a regular occurrence. In nearby Pantin, pupils complained that windows couldn't be opened, even when temperatures soared to 40 degrees Celsius (over 104 degrees Fahrenheit) in summer. Pupils also complain of overcrowded classrooms and frequently cancelled lessons. 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French Education Minister Edouard Geffray  announced that software would be used to identify schools that are in a particularly difficult situation. These announcements are the government's first concrete response to the demands of the students, who have been demonstrating for almost two weeks now, calling for better facilities in secondary schools, more supply teachers and greater investment in the education system generally. Increasing deficiencies The latest scores for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD) program for international student assessment (Pisa), which were published in September, illustrate the scale of the problems in the education system. According to the results, more than one in three 15-year-olds in France no longer achieve a basic level of competence in mathematics, for example. Macron's reform of the upper secondary education system has also been criticized. 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Two years after a student-led uprising toppled PM Sheikh Hasina, critics say Bangladesh's reform momentum is fading as political divisions deepen and key changes stall. Just two years after a student-led uprising ended the nearly 16-year rule of Sheikh Hasina, many fear Bangladesh is slipping backward. With Hasina, now in exile in India, planning a return in December and critics accusing the current government of failing to deliver on its promises, the country's political future is once again in doubt. "At the end of the day, we did not see the elimination of discrimination, the creation of an inclusive society, or the new political order that was promised," Mohammad Tanzimuddin Khan, a professor of international relations at Dhaka University, told DW. "It seems we are forgetting the very reasons behind the uprising of last July, especially those who came to power." The protest movement began in 2018 over a controversial quota system for government jobs. 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A commission set up by the interim administration reported that, of 1,913 complaints received, 1,569 were verified and classified as cases of enforced disappearance. Among those who later returned alive, about 75% were linked to the Islamist party Jamaat-e-Islami and 22% to the BNP, the main political rivals of Hasina's Awami League party. In an effort to prevent future abuses, Bangladesh signed the UN Convention against Enforced Disappearances in August 2024. The interim government later introduced an ordinance to criminalize the practice. "We wanted to ensure permanence by incorporating this into the constitution and making the necessary legal changes," Asif Mahmud said. However, rather than seeking parliamentary approval for the ordinance, the BNP-led government published a new draft bill in July 2026. Critics say the proposal weakened safeguards by assigning investigations into alleged enforced disappearances from the National Human Rights Commission (NHRC) to the police. Human Rights Watch (HRW)  warned that "allowing the police to investigate enforced disappearances will not ensure accountability and will not create the deterrence necessary to bring this practice to an end." HRW also cited the April 21 alleged abduction of Miraj Sheikh by men allegedly posing as Coast Guard personnel as the first reported enforced disappearance since the 2024 uprising. More than three months later, his whereabouts remain unknown. "We see signs of a return to those old times," Khan said. "Naturally, this is alarming." The 'Hasina Factor' persists in Bangladesh politicsThe Awami League and its affiliated organizations remain banned under an executive order and were excluded from February's elections. Hasina, meanwhile, has been sentenced to death by Bangladesh's International Crimes Tribunal over crimes against humanity committed during the 2024 uprising and remains self-exiled in India. Yet despite her fall from power, Hasina and her Awami League continue to loom large over Bangladesh's political landscape. In a Reuters interview last month, Hasina said she plans to return to Bangladesh in December and surrender to the authorities. The authorities in Dhaka "want to take me back, they are repeatedly sending letters to India seeking to have me sent back," she said. "I will go myself." "I believe in justice and I feel that once proceedings start, it will be ​clear to the people how farcical the court is," Hasina added, "and that I want to prove it." The announcement of her planned return has fueled fresh debate. NCP spokesperson Asif Mahmud argued that "even India no longer wishes to host Hasina" and suggested her remarks reflect growing uncertainty about her future there. Mahmud added that sheltering Hasina now provides India with little political benefit and complicates relations with Bangladesh's current government. Bangladesh's attorney general has declared that Hasina would be arrested immediately upon her return and stand trial. Ali Riaz, however, warned that Hasina's return could create new challenges. "During the trial proceedings, she and her followers might attempt to destabilize the law-and-order situation in Bangladesh for political gain," he said, calling on the government to guard against any resulting instability. Others, however, see a different possibility. Khan said the tensions surrounding Hasina's return could instead help "forge broader political unity in a deeply divided country."
Is Bangladesh Backtracking on Post-Hasina Reforms?
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