Dhaka 03 November, 2026

El Nino Forecast as Ocean Temperatures Approach Record Highs

Deutsche Welle

Publish : 11 Apr 2026, 02:08 PM
Coastlines and islands around the world are at risk of rising sea levels. -Deutsche Welle Photo

The EU's global warming monitor also reported the second-highest global sea surface temperature and said based on current trends, a shift towards El Nino conditions was likely.

Ocean temperatures for March hit near-record highs, the European Union's global warming monitor, the Copernicus Climate Change Service, said on Friday.

The warmest March for oceans on record was in 2024, during which the El Nino climate cycle drove temperatures up. Current records reflect once again "a likely transition toward El Nino conditions," said Copernicus.

Last month, The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) had similarly forecasted a cycle shift this year. A cooling La Nina cycle will give way to neutral conditions before swinging into El Nino later this year, the organization predicts.

US Registers Hottest March in over 130 Years

In the US, last month was the most abnormally hot month in 132 years of records, according to federal weather data.

"One reason that’s so concerning is just the sheer volume of records. This is coming on the heels of what was the worst snow year. And the hottest winter of record," the Associated Press quoted Shel Winkley, meteorologist with the non-profit Climate Central, as saying.

On March 20 and 21, about one-third of the US felt unseasonable heat that would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate change, Climate Central calculated.

Following the 2015 Paris Agreement, countries agreed to cap warming of near-surface temperature at 2°C. A more ambitious target was set at 1.5°C to avoid the worst impacts of global warming.

In recent years, the global surface air temperature has increased by between 1.3°C and 1.4°C since the pre-industrial era, according to the EU monitor Copernicus.

dw_image
Source: Deutsche Welle

Understanding La Nina and El Nino

La Nina and El Nino are opposing climate cycles in the tropical Pacific Ocean that cause short-term temperature swings globally.

El Nino conditions tend to amplify heat extremes on an already warming planet. The most recent El Nino in 2023-2024 contributed to making those years the second-hottest and hottest on record, respectively.

In the Arctic, the sea ice extent was 5.7% below average for March, the lowest on record for the month, said the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service on Friday.

The area of ocean covered by ice is decreasing steadily year after year, a key indicator of rapid warming in the Arctic and Antarctica.

Read More

Heating up the Oceans has Consquences

Oceans are the heat resorts of the planet. They absorb most of the excess heat caused by human activities and therefore play a key role in regulating the global climate.

Warmer oceans can have damaging knock-on effects on the planet. They are larger in size due to thermal expansion. In addition, they accelerate the melting of the arctics both of which contribute to rising sea level.

Furthermore, hotter seas fuel stronger storms and rainfall, both of which are becoming more frequent in recent years.

Follow google news channel to get RTV news Google News
Experts Urge 'Global Health Emergency' as Climate Harms Accelerate
A new Lancet report reveals the growing toll of climate change on human health, from rising heat deaths and drought to food insecurity and lost livelihoods.
Experts Urge 'Global Health Emergency' as Climate Harms Accelerate
Climate Change Must be Declared 'Global Health Emergency': Lancet Study
Climate change must be declared a "global health emergency" to shape governments' policies after heat caused three million deaths between 2016 and 2023, a report in The Lancet said Wednesday.
Climate Change Must be Declared 'Global Health Emergency': Lancet Study
Brazil: Amazon Deforestation Lowest in Nearly 40 Years
Brazil has recorded the lowest level of deforestation in the Amazon rainforest in nearly 40 years. According to data released by the Brazilian space research agency Inpe on Friday, between August 2025 and July 2026, 3,335 square kilometers (1,288 square miles) of forest were cleared, the lowest level witnessed since records began in 1988. The numbers showed a nearly 42% decrease from last year's figure of 5,731 square kilometers. The Amazon is the world's largest tropical rainforest and one of its most biodiverse ecosystems, most of which lies in Brazil. It also extends into parts of Peru, Colombia and other South American countries. Deforestation and the illegal exploitation of resources have been pushing it closer to a climate tipping point. Drop hailed as 'historic achievement' "It's an absolutely stratospheric drop...it's like a dream," said Environment Minister Joao Paulo Capobianco at a press conference in the capital, Brasilia. "Our goal is to achieve zero illegal deforestation by 2030," said President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a post on X. "The figures released today are a historic achievement," said Marcio Astrini, executive secretary at climate advocacy group Observatorio do Clima. "They put Brazil at the forefront of the forest protection agenda and show the world that, with political will, it is possible to stop the chainsaws and curb greenhouse gas emissions," Astrini said on his organization's website. Observatorio do Clima said the figures were the result of a "sustained commitment" to protecting the environment by the government, which introduced greater monitoring and stiffer penalties for illegal logging. The news comes ahead of the October 25 runoff election between Lula and conservative senator Flavio Bolsonaro with the two running neck and neck according to polls.
Brazil: Amazon Deforestation Lowest in Nearly 40 Years
Southeast Asia's Haze Crisis: Have Lessons been Learned?
Eleven years after catastrophic fires prompted promises of tougher action, Southeast Asia is again choking on transboundary haze, raising questions about whether the region has learned the lessons of 2015.
Southeast Asia's Haze Crisis: Have Lessons been Learned?
Swiss Glaciers Lose of More than 5% in Ice Volume in 2026
Over the last five years, Swiss glaciers have lost nearly 20% of their mass, and 2026 saw the second-biggest loss of glacier volume on record. Experts warn there could be no ice left in the next 10-15 years.
Swiss Glaciers Lose of More than 5% in Ice Volume in 2026
Read More
Ecuador Declares Nationwide Red Alert as El Nino Threatens Severe Weather
Rain Forecast across Most Divisions as Temperatures Expected to Drop
Heavy Rains Forecast across all Divisions
South Korea Summer Heat Wave Claims 16 Lives and Sickens over 2,000